Ukraine: Daily Briefing – October 10, 2017, 6 PM Kyiv time

Ukraine: Daily Briefing
October 10, 2017, 6 PM Kyiv time
Ukrainian armored units participate in training exercises, 
photo -Ukraine’s Ministry of Defense

1. Russian Invasion of Ukraine
The General Staff of Ukraine’s Armed Forces reported that in the last 24 hours, no Ukrainian soldiers were killed and two Ukrainian soldiers were wounded in action. In the last 24 hours, Russian-terrorist forces fired on Ukrainian positions 12 times in total on the Donetsk, Luhansk and Mariupol sectors of the front, including 2 times with heavy weapons.
2. IMF projects 2% GDP growth in Ukraine in 2017
In its October 2017 World Economic Outlook published today, the IMF projects 2% GDP growth in Ukraine for 2017 and 3.2% GDP growth in 2018.
3. Ukraine’s Finance Minister: Ukraine expects one IMF aid tranche in 2017
Reuters reported on October 9, “Ukraine is committed to its aid programme with the International Monetary Fund and expects to receive a further tranche of funds by the end of 2017, Finance Minister Oleksandr Danylyuk told Reuters on Monday.
           Danylyuk is due to travel to Washington this week for talks with the IMF on the $17.5 billion (13.33 billion pounds) bailout amid concerns that progress under the programme has slowed.
           Danylyuk also said Ukraine was willing to discuss any issues the IMF might have on pension reforms that were passed in parliament last week, which he said could be easily addressed.
           ‘I can say we value our cooperation, we value our commitment within the programme. This is the position of the government and of the prime minister,’ Danylyuk said in an interview. ‘Our goal is to complete the programme successfully by 2019.'”
4. NATO Parliamentary Assembly: Moscow pursing a policy that aims at undermining Alliance and destabilizing Europe
The NATO Parliamentary Assembly concluded its annual session on October 9. The NATO PA adopted a report, Russia – From Partner to Competitor, which states, “Russia’s illegal and illegitimate annexation and occupation of Crimea continues while the Kremlin has chosen the path of plausible deniability of its military presence in the Donbas where it maintains regular forces which still direct most military actions of the militants. Russia still has not fully implemented the Minsk Agreements.
Violations of the ceasefire continue to occur daily. This shows how fragile, unstable and dangerous the situation is, and how urgent it is to step up the pressure and push for an end to this escalating violence and a recommitment to the Minsk Agreements. […]
           Today, NATO Allies perceive Russia’s actions in Ukraine, as well as large-scale military exercises, the development of offensive capabilities and military infrastructure, the conduct of information warfare and continuing unpredictability and a lack of transparency as a threat to their security. Moscow pursues a policy that aims at undermining the Alliance and destabilising Europe […]
           It is necessary for NATO to develop a comprehensive containment strategy, and Allies need to remain committed to a strong deterrence posture and support all efforts to adapt the Alliance to a dynamically changing security environment. Allies need to respond effectively to the dissemination of false information from Russia.    This is also important in order to challenge the narrative of a ‘declining West,’ a ploy that the Kremlin applies to undermine our democratic societies as well as the effectiveness and cohesion of the Alliance.
         Therefore, member nations need to build and improve cyber resilience and keep up with technological developments. Moreover, the growing prevalence of cyber warfare, disinformation and propaganda activities as means of extending state influence, and the growing number of cyberattacks, require that cyber warfare be fully integrated in the defence of NATO Allies. If NATO Allies do not invest resources in this area, they are certain to encounter security challenges.”
The report is available here: Russia – From Partner to Competitor 

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